in November -- I'm sticking with my pre-New Hampshire prediction. I'm not saying it's a slam dunk, never did. But it's still my best guess.
Here are some remarkable poll results. Over 60% of voters in the South Carolina primary were women, and over half of those women were African-American women. In fact, black women outnumbered black men almost 2-1. And it was this vote which really put Barack Obama over the top. Obama took only 22% of the non-black female vote, but a whopping 78% of the very large black female vote. Oprah Winfrey is clearly not the only black woman in the country who's highly motivated to turn out at the polls for Obama. The white female vote was split almost equally between Hillary Clinton and John Edwards.
UPDATE: Looking at the exit polls, Rich Lowry sees Hillary Clinton holding tough with the demographics she needs to win the Democratic nomination. My November prediction assumes that outside of the deep South Obama will continue to erode away chunks of that demographic.
And the quote of the night goes to ABC's Jake Tapper:
Here are some remarkable poll results. Over 60% of voters in the South Carolina primary were women, and over half of those women were African-American women. In fact, black women outnumbered black men almost 2-1. And it was this vote which really put Barack Obama over the top. Obama took only 22% of the non-black female vote, but a whopping 78% of the very large black female vote. Oprah Winfrey is clearly not the only black woman in the country who's highly motivated to turn out at the polls for Obama. The white female vote was split almost equally between Hillary Clinton and John Edwards.
UPDATE: Looking at the exit polls, Rich Lowry sees Hillary Clinton holding tough with the demographics she needs to win the Democratic nomination. My November prediction assumes that outside of the deep South Obama will continue to erode away chunks of that demographic.
And the quote of the night goes to ABC's Jake Tapper:
Said Bill Clinton today in Columbia, SC: "Jesse Jackson won South Carolina in '84 and '88. Jackson ran a good campaign. And Obama ran a good campaign here."
This was in response to a question about Obama saying it "took two people to beat him." Jackson had not been mentioned.
Boy, I can't understand why anyone would think the Clintons are running a race-baiting campaign to paint Obama as "the black candidate."
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